by Stoffel | Apr 3, 2025 | Biases, Decision Making, Investing
Imagine having tomorrow’s news today. Would you use it to strike it rich in the markets? That’s the premise behind a fascinating experiment conducted by Victor Haghani, James White, and Jerry Bell, described in their article “When a Crystal Ball Isn’t Enough to Make...
by Stoffel | Mar 27, 2025 | Biases, Decision Making, Investing, Leverage
Originally published March 2025 – updated April 2026 to reflect new research and a tighter structure. Introduction Most people who invest believe they are keeping pace with the market. Not beating it – few expect that – but roughly tracking it. The evidence,...
by Stoffel | Oct 15, 2024 | Biases, Decision Making, Speculation
Many people lost lots of money in the past “investing” too much of their money into perceived lucrative opportunities. Think Gamestop. During the GameStop short squeeze in early 2021, many retail investors rushed to buy GME shares as the stock price soared due to the...
by Stoffel | Sep 22, 2024 | Biases, Decision Making
Bayes’ reasoning is a powerful tool for decision-making under uncertainty. It’s used not just in statistics but also in various fields like medicine, artificial intelligence, economics, and investing. The crux of Bayes’ reasoning is updating your prior beliefs...
by Stoffel | Sep 20, 2024 | Biases, Decision Making
This post on biases is structured into 3 parts: Part 1: Understanding Biases and Their Impact on Decision-Making Part 2: Individual Biases That Lead to Bad Financial Decisions Part 3: How Biases Influence Financial and Investment Decisions Part 1: Understanding...
